Morning Insights 1st April

Simon Alagbe

Analyst

Instrument: USDJPY

Intraday: Bullish

Technical Analysis

Preference: Buy position is envisaged at current price with take profit at 107.775

Alternative scenario: Sell position is envisaged if price trades be 106.965 with take profit at 106.774

Fundamentals:

ADP Non - Farm Employment Change (US) 1.15 pm

ISM Manufacturing PMI (US) 3.00pm

Comment: The instrument would move based on technical analysis as the we can see on the 1hr time frame the instrument is on a strong support region and it would need a strong fundamental to break this region. As we also see there some strong news coming up in the US the ADP non-farm employment, a number better than forecast could strengthen the dollar for the week, but for now, a buy looks likely.



Instrument: USDCHF

Intraday: Bullish 

Technical Analysis

Preference: Buy position is envisaged at current price with take profit at 0.96646

Alternative scenario: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 0.95825 with take profit at 0.95301.

Fundamentals:

ADP Non - Farm Employment Change (US) 1.15 pm

ISM Manufacturing PMI (US) 3.00pm

Comment: We have seen this instrument rise, hit a strong resistance, then retrace. one scenario could be the USD retesting the resistance and probably breaking it, and for this instrument to break such a resistance, a strong fundamental would be needed to push this instrument upward, the ADP and ISM could be the fundamentals needed to break the resistance if the data comes out positive, but if data comes out negative a further decline would be the case.

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