Morning Insights 14th April

Simon Alagbe

Analyst

Instrument: OIL

Intraday: Bearish

Technical Analysis

Preference: A Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 31.76 with take profit at 30.74

Alternative scenario: A Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 32.34 with take profit at 33.08

Fundamentals:

No major economic data with direct bearing on the currency pair

Comment: OPEC agreed over Easter to cut output by 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd) in May and June, equal to about 10% of global supply before the viral outbreak. The United States, the world's biggest producer, is reducing output as well, and other countries are taking the estimated cut in production to about 19.5 million bpd. But analysts, oil industry executives and others say no matter how the numbers are massaged, the reduction will not be enough to match a contraction of around a third of global oil demand due to the outbreak.


Instrument: EURUSD

Intraday: Bullish

Technical Analysis

Preference: A Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 1.09402 with take profit at 1.09611

Alternative scenario: A Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 1.09197 with take profit at 1.08982

Fundamentals:

No major economic data with direct bearing on the currency pair

Comment: EUR/USD is gaining ground as measured optimism stemming from signs of peaking in the coronavirus outbreak is weighing over the safe-haven US dollar 

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