Morning Insights 17th August

Simon Alagbe

Analyst


Instrument: AUDUSD

Intraday: Bullish

Technical Analysis

Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 0.71966 with take profit at 0.72200

Alternative scenario: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 0.71726 with take profit at 0.71475.

Fundamentals:

No major economic data with direct bearing on the pair

Comment: The Australian economy has fared better than most other economies despite the effect of the novel virus as economic data from the country as reflected better shape of the economy. The Aussie is also boosted by the rapid recovery of the Chinese economy as the country's major trade partner. The greenback has been pressured recently by the increasing number of infections and uncertainty around the Presidential elections.






Instrument: OIL

Intraday: Bullish

Technical Analysis

Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 45.10 with take profit at 45.49

Alternative scenario: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 44.89 with take profit at 44.61.

Fundamentals:

No major economic data with direct bearing on the commodity 

Comment: The commodity is envisaged to surge higher owing to the reports that China would ship in large volumes of oil from the US in August and September. This report, and the global easing of the COVID19 restrictions, is expected to outweigh the over-supply concern and surge black gold higher. 

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