Morning Insights 19th August

Simon Alagbe

Analyst


Instrument: US30

Intraday: Bearish

Technical Analysis

Preference:  Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 27668 with take profit at 27598

Alternative scenario: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 27786 with take profit at 27837

Fundamentals:    

FOMC Meeting Minutes (USD) 7:00pm

Comment:  Trump said last night that he personally called off the talks with China over the weekend. The move comes after Trump widened the attack on Huawei suppliers this week and it raises fears that the so-called phase-one deal could be cancelled. If that happens it could very well derail current positive market sentiment. Technically, Dow Jones is trading narrowly but should trade lower if it closes below the support on 1HR.




Instrument: USDJPY

Intraday: Bullish

Technical Analysis

Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 105.640 with take profit at 105.923 

Alternative scenario: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 105.349 with take profit at 105.152

Fundamentals:

 FOMC Meeting Minutes(USD) 7:00pm

Comment: While the exact reason for the turnaround in the US dollar is not known, the timing of the greenback’s recovery has coincided with the official announcement of Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for the US Presidential elections, due in November. Technically, the Greenback's recovery should continue if price breaks the nearest resistance.

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