Morning Insights 7th December

Simon Alagbe

Analyst


Instrument: US 30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)

Technical Analysis

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 29977 with take profit at 29915

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 30061 with take profit at  30189

Fundamentals: 

No major economic data with direct bearing on the index

Comment: The Dow index surged higher on Friday after data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that only 245,000 jobs were created in November, with Unemployment coming out steady at 6.7%.  The weaker than expected job data further strengthened optimism of the passage of fresh stimulus to support the job market. 




Instrument: OIL

Technical Analysis

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 49.19 with take profit at 49.75.

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 48.50 with take profit at 47.87.

Fundamentals:

No Fundamentals 

Comment: The surge in corona virus cases has seen a decrease in oil prices, California a major consumer of oil, saw a spike in their covid cases causing the governor to issue out a state lock-down, this has affected the prices of oil and dragged oil prices lower. The reduction in oil prices are just for a moment until the vaccines are being distributed for use.


Instrument: EURUSD

Technical Analysis

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 1.21216 with take profit at 1.21656.

Bearish Preference:  Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 1.20950 with take profit at 1.20572.

Fundamentals:    

No major economic data with bearing on the pair

Comment: Technically the instrument is trading close to resistance and we expect prices to drop a bit lower. On Friday we saw the non-farm payroll data come out well below forecast but prolonged Brexit negotiations have made investors sceptical investing in the EUR at the moment. Investors would look forward to the Monetary Policy Statement coming out on Thursday for further guidance.

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