Morning Insights 15th December

Simon Alagbe

Analyst


Instrument: EURUSD

Technical Analysis

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 1.21214 with take profit at 1.20889

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 1.21436 with take profit at 1.21692

Fundamentals:

No Major economic data with direct bearing on the pair. 

Comment: The eagerly awaited Coronavirus stimulus to help keep afloat ailing businesses is suffering delays, with Congress talking about splitting the $908 billion into two parts to force it through.  The first part will be targeted at vaccine distribution and unemployed benefits, while the more controversial second part will target local support and temporary COVID-19 liability protection. All attention is on the final policy-setting meeting starting today to conclude tomorrow with expectations growing that the bank will increase its Asset Purchase Program. 


Instrument: OILs

Technical Analysis

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 50.15 with take profit at 50.87.

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 49.61 with take profit at 48.81.

Fundamentals:    

No Major Fundamentals

Comment: Oil prices fell on Tuesday due to tighter lockdown in Europe and a forecast for a slower recovery in demand next year outweighed relief from vaccination rollouts and concerns about a flare-up of tension in the Middle East. Europe megacities have implemented lockdown strategies that will see the closure of non-essential stores.



Instrument: US30

Technical Analysis

Bullish Preference: Buy position  is envisaged if price trades above 29985 with take profit at 30106

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 29888 with take profit at 29774

Fundamentals:

No major economic data

Comment: U.S. stocks are seen opening higher this week, as investors weigh up the rollout of a COVID-19 vaccine and updates on a new corona-virus relief package. Given these numbers, investors will be keen to hear if more fiscal stimulus is coming. A bipartisan group of House and Senate negotiators has decided to split its $908 billion Covid relief package into two separate proposals. One bill will be a $748 billion proposal, which includes money for small business loans, jobless benefits and vaccine distribution, and is expected to pass.

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