Morning Insights 21st January

Simon Alagbe

Analyst


Instrument: US 30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)

Technical Analysis

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 31114 with take profit at 31019

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 31180 with take profit at 31252

Fundamentals:

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (US) 2:30 PM

Unemployment Claims (US) 2:30 PM

Comment: DJIA continued its recent bullish run, buoyed by the sentiment of a new occupant at the White House. President Joe Biden was sworn in yesterday and has kicked off with strong intent after signing executive orders to promote his $1.9 trillion relief bill. The bill when passed will ameliorate the impact of coronavirus on individuals and businesses and would further support the stock market.



Instrument: EURUSD

Technical Analysis

Bullish Position: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 1.21398 with a take profit 1.21824

Bearish Position: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 1.21075 with take profit at 1.20586

Fundamentals:

Main Refinancing Rate (EUR) 1:45 PM

Monetary Policy Statement (EUR) 1:45pm

ECB Press Conference (EUR) 2:30 pm

Comment: The EURO has seen brief corrective gains as the dollar's weakness continues and the currency declines further. This continued strength in the euro came because of a smooth transition of the presidency; it also shows a higher chance of a fresh stimulus package, which will further weaken the dollar and strengthen the EURO. The board of the European Central Bank is expected to keep rate constant with the policy statement and the Press conference being the major determinant of the strength of the common currency today. 



Instrument: GOLD

Technical Analysis:

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 1875.77 with take profit at 1885.00

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 1868.27 with take profit at 1854.00

Fundamentals:

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (US) 2:30 PM

Unemployment Claims (US) 2:30 PM

Comments: The safe-haven metal has been trading narrowly in the last couple of days and with the fresh impetus of smooth transition to the Biden-Harris admin supporting the approval of bigger stimulus checks, it is envisaged that Gold will move to the upside to correct 50% of the previous bearish move.

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