Morning Insights 8th March

Simon Alagbe

Analyst


Instrument: GBPUSD

Technical Analysis

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below  1.37576 with take profit at price 1.37215

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above  1.38283 with a take profit at price 1.38572

Fundamentals:    

 BOE Gov Bailey Speaks (GBP) 11 AM

Comment: The US dollar's recovery continued last week, with new highs for the year being recorded against other pairs. The key driving force is interest rates and ideas that the US monetary spigot will be turned down before Fed officials acknowledge. The rise in interest rates and inflation expectations are not just the result of the massive US monetary and fiscal stimulus. The Dollar Index rose about 1.15% last week. It was the best performance since before the US election and vaccine was announced. 




Instrument: GOLD

Technical Analysis

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below the verified support at price 1686.04 with take profit at 1672.53

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above  1708.80 with a take profit at price 1719.56

Fundamentals:

No major fundamental

Comment: Gold futures finished slightly lower on Friday after clawing back earlier losses. Despite reports in the press and from some lazy analysts, the market did not make its low of the session following the release of the stronger-than-expected U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report. During the pre-market session, gold futures hit a low of $1683.00. Shortly after the release of the report, gold plunged to $1683.80. This is significant because it represents a potentially bullish divergence from U.S. Treasury yields, which touched a new high for the year after the jobs data was released.

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