Morning Insights 26th April

Simon Alagbe

Analyst


Instrument: GOLD

Technical Analysis

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above  1780.60 with  take profit at  1783.71.

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below price 1772.54 with  take profit at  1769.57.

Fundamentals:   

No major fundamental.

Comment: The price of gold pulls back from a fresh monthly high ($1798) as the 10-Year US Treasury yield defends the April low (1.53%), but the Federal Reserve interest rate decision may keep gold prices afloat as the central bank relies on its non-standard tools to achieve its policy targets.



Instrument: EURUSD

Technical Analysis

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above price 1.21168 with take profit at  1.21305.

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below price 1.20832 with take profit at  1.20700.

Fundamentals:

German ifo Business Climate (EUR) 9 am

Comment: EUR/USD appears to be stuck in a narrow range as the European Central Bank (ECB) keeps the current course for monetary policy, but the failed attempt to test the March high (1.2113) may push the exchange rate back within the descending channel from earlier this year as the Governing Council remains in no rush to switch gears. More so, As a result, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate decision may do little to influence the near-term outlook for EUR/USD as Vice Chair Richard Clarida insists that “policy will not tighten solely because the unemployment rate has fallen below any econometric estimate of its long-run natural level.

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