Morning Insights 7th June

Simon Alagbe

Analyst


Instrument: GOLD

Technical Analysis

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 1888.20 with take profit at  1891.49.

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 1879.31 with take profit at 1875.93.

Fundamentals:

No major fundamental

Comment: Gold prices pulled back slightly during Monday’s Asia-Pacific trade after rising over 1% on Friday. Market participants are assessing comments by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who showed her support for President Joe Biden’s $4 trillion spending plans even if inflation persists into next year. She also added that a “slightly higher” interest rate environment would be a “plus” for the US, reigniting fears about tapering Fed stimulus. As a result, the 10-year Treasury yield rebounded nearly 1% to 1.569%, reflecting reflation hopes.




Instrument: US100

Technical Analysis

Bullish Preference: Buy position is envisaged if price trades above 13754.80  with take profit at 13767.06.

Bearish Preference: Sell position is envisaged if price trades below 13690.41 with take profit at 13670.77.

Fundamentals:

No major fundamental

Comment: The Nasdaq 100 is the weakest of the big three U.S. indices, but is trying to go through a resistance level it could not take out the past couple of weeks. To get the record high at 14073 back in focus, a breakout above 13814 is needed. A drop below 13458 will have the March 2020 trend-line and September slope in focus as support. The pace of job creation appears to have sped up over the past three months, underscoring a strong recovery in the labour market. Meanwhile, weekly jobless claims fell to a fresh pandemic low of 385k, versus a 390k forecast. This led to a sharp rebound in the US Dollar which will, in turn, weaken its counterparts.

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