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Equities benefit from investors not changing rate hike expectations after Powell's speech & China's announcement to support its equity market

Olusegun Enujowo

Analyst

The Stoxx Europe 600 index ascended by 0.6%, primarily driven by tech stocks. This surge was influenced by comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde at Jackson Hole. Investors first took their statements as hawkish - also as financial media platforms, such as Bloomberg, CNBC etc. wrote hawkish headlines and analysts said that in particular Powell's speech should be considered hawkish. Meanwhile, US equity futures hinted towards a positive trajectory, with Treasury yields seeing a minor dip.

In the US, Friday's market responses turned positive after first falling following Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. He indicated that the Fed remains open to further rate hikes, but ultimately sticking to a data-driven approach. Similarly, Lagarde stressed that the ECB would adjust borrowing costs to manage inflation. The Nasdaq Composite rose by 0.94%, the S&P 500 climbed by 0.67%, and the Dow Jones grew by 0.73% on Friday. A positive finish in a turbulent week is a positive sign for the following week.

Asian markets exhibited positive trends. Notably, Chinese / Hong Kong stocks rose by 1.4% following its announcement of strategies to stimulate its capital market and reinforce investor confidence. This includes measures like halving the stamp duty on stock trading. However, challenges persist, as showcased by the 15.5% year-on-year decline in China's industrial profits in the first 7 months of 2023.

However, the concerns that the Chinese economy remains weak has trimmed much of the gains. CSI 300 Index of mainland stocks opened 5.5% higher but closed at +1.42%.

Japan saw a boost of 1.64%, Hong Kong grew by 1.38%, India witnessed a minor increase of 0.20%, and Australia's market rose by 0.55% after positive retail sales data. 

The week ahead is expected to be eventful for the US (after a quiet week), with significant data releases including the labor report, PCE price index, ISM Manufacturing PMI, and Q2 GDP growth's second estimate. Europe and Asia will be closely monitoring inflation rates and manufacturing PMI readings.

The oil market responded positively to China's economic measures. Brent crude and WTI crude both saw slight gains, reflecting China's influence on global commodity prices.

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